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AHT: 01CSV

02 Feb 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.6%
Quevilly Rouen
22.5%
Draw
23.0%
Chateauroux

Expected Goals (xG)

1.67

Quevilly Rouen

vs
0.97

Chateauroux

Markets

BTTS49.5%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
0-1
7.9%
0-0
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.5%
3-1
5.4%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).