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AHT: 01CSV

18 Dec 2020 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.9%
Virtus Entella
29.4%
Draw
21.7%
Pordenone

Expected Goals (xG)

1.43

Virtus Entella

vs
0.87

Pordenone

Markets

BTTS45.5%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.520.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
1-0
13.1%
0-0
11.3%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).