Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.9%
Le Havre
32.7%
Draw
37.4%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
Le Havre
vs
0.88
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS30.0%
Over 0.581.6%
Over 1.547.6%
Over 2.522.6%
Over 3.58.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
18.4%
0-1
18.3%
1-0
15.7%
1-1
11.9%
0-2
7.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-0
5.5%
2-1
4.9%
0-3
2.2%
2-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
3-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).