Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.9%
Southend
30.5%
Draw
22.6%
Oldham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Southend
vs
0.83
Oldham
Markets
BTTS42.5%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.517.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.3%
1-1
13.9%
0-0
12.7%
2-0
10.1%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.0%
3-1
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-2
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).