Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.3%
Bradford
29.1%
Draw
30.6%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Bradford
vs
0.93
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS40.0%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.559.9%
Over 2.533.5%
Over 3.515.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.0%
1-1
12.8%
0-1
12.6%
0-0
12.4%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
3.0%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).