Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.7%
Benevento
31.5%
Draw
27.8%
Brescia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Benevento
vs
0.97
Brescia
Markets
BTTS45.0%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.537.4%
Over 3.517.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
12.5%
1-0
12.4%
0-1
9.5%
2-0
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-0
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).