Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.4%
Carlisle
21.8%
Draw
57.8%
Doncaster
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Carlisle
vs
1.83
Doncaster
Markets
BTTS51.9%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.530.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.5%
1-1
10.3%
0-2
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
1-0
6.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-3
6.0%
0-0
5.6%
2-1
5.3%
2-2
4.8%
2-3
2.9%
2-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).