Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.6%
Union Berlin
27.9%
Draw
26.5%
Werder Bremen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Union Berlin
vs
1.07
Werder Bremen
Markets
BTTS51.6%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.8%
2-0
8.5%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).