Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.0%
Sheffield Wednesday
23.8%
Draw
64.1%
Millwall
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65
Sheffield Wednesday
vs
1.79
Millwall
Markets
BTTS40.6%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.7%
0-2
14.0%
1-1
11.0%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
0-3
8.4%
1-3
5.4%
1-0
4.8%
0-4
3.8%
2-1
3.3%
2-2
2.9%
1-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).