Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.1%
Hartlepool
33.0%
Draw
22.9%
Brackley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Hartlepool
vs
0.75
Brackley Town
Markets
BTTS37.3%
Over 0.584.0%
Over 1.557.9%
Over 2.529.8%
Over 3.512.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.1%
0-0
16.0%
1-1
14.0%
0-1
10.1%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
4.9%
0-2
4.2%
3-0
3.8%
3-1
2.9%
2-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).