Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.3%
Salernitana
24.0%
Draw
42.7%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Salernitana
vs
1.58
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS58.9%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.534.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.0%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
7.8%
1-0
7.4%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
5.1%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.7%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).