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12 Apr 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.6%
St Mirren
29.4%
Draw
26.0%
Ross County

Expected Goals (xG)

1.31

St Mirren

vs
0.94

Ross County

Markets

BTTS45.2%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.519.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
1-0
13.1%
0-0
11.2%
0-1
9.2%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.6%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
4.0%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).