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08 Jan 2021 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.2%
Le Havre
30.5%
Draw
13.2%
Valenciennes

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

Le Havre

vs
0.39

Valenciennes

Markets

BTTS21.3%
Over 0.579.4%
Over 1.544.9%
Over 2.520.2%
Over 3.57.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
25.4%
0-0
20.6%
2-0
14.2%
0-1
9.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-0
5.5%
3-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
0-2
1.6%
4-0
1.6%
2-2
1.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).