Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.7%
Spezia
28.4%
Draw
44.9%
Pisa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Spezia
vs
1.48
Pisa
Markets
BTTS52.6%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
8.8%
0-2
8.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
5.0%
2-0
4.5%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).