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HHT: 20CSV

05 Mar 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.6%
Torquay
28.8%
Draw
20.6%
Kidderminster

Expected Goals (xG)

1.45

Torquay

vs
0.84

Kidderminster

Markets

BTTS44.5%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.7%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
11.1%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.4%
3-0
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
3.5%
4-0
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).