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20 Aug 2024 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.3%
Wythenshawe Town
32.5%
Draw
46.3%
Runcorn Linnets

Expected Goals (xG)

0.61

Wythenshawe Town

vs
1.05

Runcorn Linnets

Markets

BTTS29.3%
Over 0.581.4%
Over 1.549.1%
Over 2.523.3%
Over 3.58.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
20.4%
0-0
18.6%
1-0
11.9%
1-1
11.8%
0-2
10.6%
1-2
6.4%
0-3
3.7%
2-1
3.7%
2-0
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-2
1.9%
0-4
1.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).