Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.7%
Gillingham
27.4%
Draw
36.9%
Crewe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Gillingham
vs
1.16
Crewe
Markets
BTTS45.9%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
0-1
12.3%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
9.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
2.8%
0-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).