Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.0%
Girona
27.4%
Draw
42.7%
Celta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Girona
vs
1.37
Celta
Markets
BTTS50.3%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
0-1
11.2%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.7%
0-0
8.6%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).