Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.8%
Eibar
15.6%
Draw
7.6%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
2.40
Eibar
vs
0.62
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS42.2%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.558.2%
Over 3.535.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.0%
1-0
11.5%
3-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
1-1
7.4%
3-1
7.0%
4-0
6.8%
0-0
5.0%
4-1
4.2%
5-0
3.3%
0-1
2.9%
2-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).