Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.1%
Crewe
22.7%
Draw
26.2%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Crewe
vs
1.17
Sutton
Markets
BTTS56.5%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.555.7%
Over 3.533.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.2%
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
5.6%
0-0
4.9%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).