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AHT: 00CSV

28 Feb 2025 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.5%
Laval
27.8%
Draw
33.7%
Martigues

Expected Goals (xG)

1.09

Laval

vs
1.00

Martigues

Markets

BTTS40.9%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.560.8%
Over 2.534.9%
Over 3.516.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.6%
0-1
13.4%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
11.2%
2-1
7.4%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-1
2.7%
3-0
2.7%
1-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).