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AHT: 03CSV

05 Nov 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.3%
Stockport
26.7%
Draw
29.1%
Wycombe

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Stockport

vs
0.94

Wycombe

Markets

BTTS42.2%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.562.9%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.517.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.1%
1-1
12.1%
0-1
11.7%
0-0
10.2%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.6%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).