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10 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.9%
Genclerbirligi
35.1%
Draw
24.0%
Kasımpaşa

Expected Goals (xG)

1.27

Genclerbirligi

vs
0.94

Kasımpaşa

Markets

BTTS47.1%
Over 0.585.7%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.4%
0-0
14.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-0
3.8%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).