Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.9%
St Etienne
21.4%
Draw
49.7%
Brest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
St Etienne
vs
1.96
Brest
Markets
BTTS65.5%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.585.1%
Over 2.566.1%
Over 3.544.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-1
6.8%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
6.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.0%
1-0
5.1%
2-3
4.4%
0-3
4.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).