Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.8%
Cheltenham
22.3%
Draw
57.9%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Cheltenham
vs
1.77
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.5%
0-2
10.7%
1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
1-0
6.7%
0-0
6.3%
0-3
6.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-1
5.1%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).