Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.2%
Heidenheim
23.8%
Draw
20.0%
Nurnberg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Heidenheim
vs
1.10
Nurnberg
Markets
BTTS58.1%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.558.7%
Over 3.536.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.0%
1-0
8.3%
3-1
6.4%
3-0
5.9%
0-0
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
0-1
4.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).