Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.6%
Sp Gijon
22.6%
Draw
40.8%
Castellon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Sp Gijon
vs
1.73
Castellon
Markets
BTTS66.0%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.565.2%
Over 3.543.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.0%
2-2
6.9%
0-1
6.1%
1-0
5.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
2-3
4.0%
3-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).