Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.5%
Nantes
26.8%
Draw
46.7%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Nantes
vs
1.36
Lille
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.520.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.8%
1-1
12.5%
1-0
9.7%
0-0
9.5%
0-2
9.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.2%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).