Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.4%
Harrogate
26.6%
Draw
49.9%
Crewe
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Harrogate
vs
1.37
Crewe
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.6%
1-1
12.1%
0-0
10.5%
0-2
10.3%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
5.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-0
3.9%
2-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).