Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.3%
Torino
20.3%
Draw
19.4%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Torino
vs
1.09
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS58.1%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.539.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-0
9.1%
1-0
8.9%
3-1
6.9%
3-0
6.3%
2-2
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
0-1
4.7%
0-0
4.0%
3-2
3.8%
4-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).