Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.5%
Pisa
21.4%
Draw
12.1%
Alessandria
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Pisa
vs
0.78
Alessandria
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.532.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.4%
1-0
11.0%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.5%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.7%
4-0
4.4%
2-2
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
0-1
3.6%
4-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).