Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.7%
Hoffenheim
13.7%
Draw
7.6%
Heidenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
2.89
Hoffenheim
vs
0.84
Heidenheim
Markets
BTTS54.0%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.589.0%
Over 2.571.9%
Over 3.551.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.0%
3-0
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-0
7.0%
1-0
6.6%
1-1
6.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-0
4.0%
2-2
3.5%
3-2
3.4%
5-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).