Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.1%
Loughborough University
25.8%
Draw
32.1%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Loughborough University
vs
1.16
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.525.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-0
11.3%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
0-0
7.5%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).