Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.7%
Brest
14.5%
Draw
7.8%
Montpellier
Expected Goals (xG)
2.37
Brest
vs
0.59
Montpellier
Markets
BTTS39.9%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.534.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.6%
1-0
12.7%
3-0
11.5%
2-1
8.6%
4-0
6.8%
1-1
6.8%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
4.8%
4-1
4.0%
0-1
3.4%
5-0
3.3%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).