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AHT: 01CSV

29 Apr 2018

PAOK

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.8%
Panathinaikos
28.6%
Draw
47.6%
PAOK

Expected Goals (xG)

0.98

Panathinaikos

vs
1.47

PAOK

Markets

BTTS49.2%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
0-1
11.6%
0-0
9.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).