Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.4%
Caen
13.7%
Draw
76.9%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Caen
vs
2.57
Lorient
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.542.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.8%
0-3
10.1%
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.0%
1-3
7.7%
0-4
6.5%
1-1
6.4%
1-4
4.9%
2-2
3.4%
0-5
3.3%
1-0
3.3%
0-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).