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DHT: 11CSV

18 Mar 2023 · 15:00

Hull

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.2%
Reading
26.4%
Draw
46.4%
Hull

Expected Goals (xG)

1.18

Reading

vs
1.61

Hull

Markets

BTTS56.2%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.5%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
9.0%
0-2
8.0%
0-0
7.0%
2-1
6.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
4.3%
2-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).