Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.6%
Crystal Palace
33.1%
Draw
25.4%
Nottingham Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Crystal Palace
vs
0.89
Nottingham Forest
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.535.2%
Over 3.516.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.0%
0-0
14.0%
1-0
12.9%
0-1
9.1%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
4.9%
3-0
3.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).