Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.9%
Huesca
24.5%
Draw
48.6%
Castellon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Huesca
vs
1.61
Castellon
Markets
BTTS54.1%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
8.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.6%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
5.1%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).