Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.5%
Lazio
28.4%
Draw
19.1%
Venezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Lazio
vs
0.66
Venezia
Markets
BTTS35.2%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.558.5%
Over 2.531.6%
Over 3.513.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.4%
0-0
13.7%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
11.9%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-0
5.2%
1-2
4.0%
3-1
3.5%
0-2
3.1%
2-2
2.6%
4-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).