Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.3%
Pau FC
19.1%
Draw
20.5%
Niort
Expected Goals (xG)
2.09
Pau FC
vs
1.13
Niort
Markets
BTTS58.5%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.540.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-0
8.7%
1-1
8.7%
3-1
6.9%
3-0
6.1%
2-2
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
0-1
5.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-1
3.6%
0-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).