Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.2%
Altrincham
23.4%
Draw
53.4%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Altrincham
vs
1.98
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS62.4%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.562.6%
Over 3.540.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
7.7%
0-1
7.0%
1-3
6.4%
2-1
6.1%
2-2
6.1%
0-3
5.1%
0-0
4.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-3
4.0%
1-4
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).