Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.7%
Reading
24.9%
Draw
24.4%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Reading
vs
0.88
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS43.5%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.520.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-0
10.1%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
0-0
8.9%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).