Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.1%
Cesena
26.2%
Draw
46.7%
Cremonese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Cesena
vs
1.68
Cremonese
Markets
BTTS59.0%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.533.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
7.9%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.0%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
5.9%
1-0
5.5%
1-3
5.3%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).