Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.7%
Bologna
17.7%
Draw
12.7%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
2.28
Bologna
vs
0.85
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.560.6%
Over 3.538.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.6%
1-1
8.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-0
4.9%
0-0
4.2%
4-1
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).