Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.2%
Trapani
27.9%
Draw
21.9%
Cesena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Trapani
vs
0.95
Cesena
Markets
BTTS49.6%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
9.3%
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.1%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).