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19 Apr 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.9%
Trabzonspor
24.8%
Draw
29.3%
İstanbul Başakşehir

Expected Goals (xG)

2.12

Trabzonspor

vs
1.70

İstanbul Başakşehir

Markets

BTTS73.9%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.591.4%
Over 2.573.4%
Over 3.553.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.9%
2-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
3-1
5.9%
3-2
5.0%
2-0
4.9%
0-0
4.2%
2-3
4.0%
1-3
3.8%
3-0
3.5%
0-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).