Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.8%
Lincoln
14.8%
Draw
14.4%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
2.73
Lincoln
vs
1.17
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS63.9%
Over 0.598.5%
Over 1.589.5%
Over 2.574.7%
Over 3.554.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.8%
3-1
8.0%
2-0
7.5%
3-0
6.9%
1-0
6.1%
1-1
5.9%
4-1
5.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-0
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
4-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).