Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.2%
Charlton
34.6%
Draw
27.2%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Charlton
vs
0.80
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS35.8%
Over 0.582.5%
Over 1.554.7%
Over 2.527.0%
Over 3.510.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.5%
1-0
15.6%
1-1
14.2%
0-1
12.2%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
0-2
5.3%
3-0
2.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).