Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.8%
Cambridge
29.7%
Draw
26.5%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Cambridge
vs
0.81
Exeter
Markets
BTTS37.2%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.557.5%
Over 2.531.0%
Over 3.513.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.7%
0-0
13.7%
1-1
12.6%
0-1
12.1%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
5.3%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.5%
2-2
3.0%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).